SUN STORMS WILL BE STRONG FUTURE IN 2012

22 September 2012 At midnight, the sky of New York, Manhattan United States will be covered by a beam of light that the color-screen warni.Di southern region of New York is, very few people who can see this aurora phenomenon. However, the feeling of enjoying the beautiful scenery of this nature will not last long. After a few seconds, all electric light bulbs in these regions are dark and uncertain flashes, then light rays in an instant suddenly grew light, and light bulbs to be extraordinary light. Furthermore, all the lights went out. 90 seconds later, the entire eastern United States will experience power outages. A year later, millions of Americans begin to die, state infrastructure will become a heap of ruins. The World Bank will announce the U.S. turned into a developing country. At the same time, Europe, China and Japan and other regions or countries will also be the same as the United States, struggling in this time of disaster. This disaster comes from the sun or solar storms terrible storm, occurred on the solar surface, a distance of 150 million km from Earth.
Perhaps the above story may sound impossible, under normal circumstances would not the sun can cause major disaster like that on Earth. However, a special report issued by the National Academy of Sciences, the United States in January 2009 stating that a disaster like this is very possibly could happen. The study was sponsored by NASA. In recent decades, the development of human society, western civilization had planted the seeds for their own destruction. Excessive modern way of life that depends on science and technology, unintentionally making us more trapped in a condition that is super dangerous. Plasma balls are emitted in the eruption of the solar surface may destroy our power grid, causing massive disasters. Daniel Becker of the University of Colorado an expert on space weather is the originator of a special report from the Academy of Sciences of the United States, "Right now we are getting closer to the possibility of this disaster. If humans can not prepare for Deng's ripe for hurricane disaster that will befall this sun. The solar storms will probably decide the electricity supply of mankind, phone signal, even including the water supply system. "
However, there are some experts who express different views, they consider the impact of solar storms mainly concentrated in outer space, and because the barrier effect of Earth's magnetic field and atmosphere, the interference effect will not be too real to life on earth. Experts say, when an active solar storm activity, will continue to occur in the sunspot combustion and explosion, when a large amount of ultraviolet light released will cause the density of the air layer above the earth's ionosphere to increase abruptly, taking out short-wave energy, so that short-wave radio signals disturbed. But the mobile phone used in everyday life, including the transmission of radio signals through the ionosphere layer, so that in general the impact of solar storms on communications on Earth's surface would not be significant. In theory, in general the intensity of solar storms will not be able to break through the protection of the atmosphere and Earth's magnetic field, until fatally threatened species on earth. But for the year 2012 solar storm experts fear may be an exception.
Facing the possibility of a serious disaster had befallen the will, the United States and all mankind did not immediately respond to properly prepare for a job in the face of the next solar storm cycle. Becker says that because of the possibility of large scale solar storm is very small, "The whole society does not even respond, but only noticed the problem in the eyes." Against the weather on Earth, scientists can track weather the storm that will happen over the next few days, and issue appropriate warnings to local residents, but the storm the sun or space weather is totally different. Backer said that now we still can not accurately predict the time and strength of solar storms, which can be predicted by me and my partner only if a large solar storm strikes, we are absolutely not able to handle it. "
This is similar to a hurricane disaster early warning and the man on the earth, mankind today is primarily dependent on the prediction of the sunspot cycle to monitor the intensity of solar storms and their impact on the earth. What is meant by sunspot is a process of improvement and significant reduction in the number of sunspot every 11 years. Cycle is calculated starting from the lowest sunspot activity on the sun. In the active period will be increased sunspot, solar storm that occurred will be more. When solar storms occur, high-speed particles and ions are formed by the flow of electrically charged particles emitted by a massive layer of the sun will affect the earth's magnetic field, ionosphere and neutral atmosphere. On the issue of the impact hazard solar storm, more than a century, people continue to monitor sunspot activity.
Based on the phenomena occurring on the surface of the sun and the data on sunspot cycles that occur before, scientists from the National Center for Atmospheric Research, NCAR, United States, succeeded in developing a new model of solar dynamics. With new models, astronomers can give early warning of solar sunspot activity. They hope that early warning can help power companies, the satellite controllers and other aspects in a few days or even years earlier in order to get ready to face the sun sunspot activity. According to information, the accuracy of this new model can achieve 98% accuracy. Richard Enke from the National Science Foundation, Department of Atmospheric Research, said that if the United States at an early stage can predict solar storm activity, these people will be able to better cope with problems such as communication, satellite failures, power outages, as well as threats to astronauts and other things .
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SERANGAN BADAI MATAHARI DI TAHUN 2012-2013


Menurut laporan website Inggris “New Scientist”, maksud dari badai matahari atau solar storm adalah siklus kegiatan peledakan dahsyat dari masa puncak kegiatan bintik matahari (sunspot), biasanya setiap 11 tahun akan memasuki periode aktivitas badai matahari. Ilmuwan Amerika baru-baru ini memperingatkan bahwa pada tahun 2012 bumi akan mengalami badai matahari dahsyat (Solar Blast), daya rusakanya akan jauh lebih besar dari badai angin “Katrina”, dan hampir semua manusia di bumi tidak akan dapat melepaskan diri dari dampak bencananya.
Ilmuwan Amerika Serikat memperingatkan bahwa, pada 2012 badai matahari yang kuat di bumi akan membawa malapetaka besar pada manusia, yang akan mempengaruhi setiap aspek pada masyarakat modern sekarang. Para ahli yang mengeluarkan peringatan meng-atakan, dampak badai matahari pada bumi kemungkinan adalah “efek domino”. Coba pikirkan, bila jaringan listrik menjadi rapuh dan tidak stabil, hal-hal yang berhubungan dengan bisnis pasokan listrik juga akan menjadi korban: peralatan refrigeration berhenti, makanan dan obat-obatan yang tersimpan dalam ruang berpendingin dalam jumlah besar akan kehi-langan kondisi penyimpanan dan rusak; pompa tiba-tiba berhenti berfungsi, air minum pada masyarakat akan menjadi masalah. Selain itu, karena gangguan pada sinyal satelit, sistem posisi GPS akan menjadi sampah. Sebenarnya pada awal 1859 pernah terjadi kasus serupa, peledakan badai matahari saat itu bahkan me-ngakibatkan jaringan telegram terbakar rusak. Tentu saja sekarang ini di bumi sudah dipenuhi oleh fasilitas kabel dan nirkabel, tetapi fasilitas ini sulit menahan ujian badai matahari.
Ketika badai matahari kuat menyerang, umat manusia di bumi akan menghadapi dua masalah besar. Pertama, adalah tentang masalah jaringan listrik modern sekarang. Jaringan listrik modern sekarang pada umumnya menggunakan tegangan tinggi untuk mencakup daerah lebih luas, ini akan memungkinkan operasi jaringan listrik lebih efisien, Anda bisa mengurangi kerugian selama transmisi listrik, juga kerugian listrik karena produksi yang berlebihan. Namun, secara bersama ia juga menjadi lebih rentan terhadap serangan cuaca ruang angkasa. transmisi jaringan akan menjadi sangat rentan dan tidak stabil, atau bahkan mungkin menyebabkan terhenti secara total. dan ini hanya merupakan efek domino yang pertama, selanjutnya mungkin juga akan menyebabkan “lalu lintas lumpuh, komunikasi terputus, industri keuangan runtuh dan fasilitas umum kacau; pompa berhenti menyebabkan pasokan air minum terputus, kurangnya fasilitas pendingin, makanan dan obat-obatan sulit disimpan secara efektif. Para ilmuwan telah memperkirakan bila ada intensitas badai matahari kuat mungkin dapat menyebabkan kerugian sosial dan ekonomi manusia, hanya pada tahun pertama saja kerugiannya mencapai 1-2 triliun dollar AS, sementara pemulihan dan rekonstruksinya diperlukan setidaknya 4-10 tahun.
Isu yang kedua adalah tentang masalah sistem jaringan listrik yang saling ketergantungan yang dukungan kehidupan modern kita, seperti masalah air dan penanganan limbah, masalah infrastruktur logistik supermarket, masalah pengendalian gardu listrik, pasar keuangan dan lainnya yang tergantung pada listrik. Jika dua masalah digabung jadi satu, kita dapat dengan jelas melihat bahwa peristiwa kemungkinan muncul kembalinya badai matahari Carrington sangat mungkin akan menyebabkan bencana besar yang langka. Adviser laporan khusus dari National Academy of Sciences Amerika Serikat dan analis daya listrik industri John Kappenman menganggap “Bencana seperti ini dibandingkan dengan bencana yang biasa kita bayangkan secara total berlawanan. biasanya wilayah kurang berkembang rawan serangan bencana, namun dalam bencana ini, wilayah yang semakin berkembang lebih rentan terhadap serangan bencana.”

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